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Segunda División · Spain
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Girona host Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Girona had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Celta de Vigo II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Girona's last 10 and 6 of Celta de Vigo II's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Girona averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Celta de Vigo II averaged 1.50 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Girona and 1.11 from Celta de Vigo II. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 23%, against 69%, 19% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | WDDWW | 1.70 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
| Celta de Vigo II | DWLDL | 1.50 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Girona Win | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Girona HT & FT | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Almeria vs Oviedo · 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Almeria Win @ 1.62 - Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Leganes vs Mallorca · 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cordoba vs Eibar · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53