Home › League stats › Segunda División › Almeria vs Oviedo
Segunda División · Spain
Almeria vs Oviedo prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Almeria host Oviedo in the Segunda División (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Almeria Win — Almeria to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Almeria had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 7. Oviedo had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Almeria's last 10 and 4 of Oviedo's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Almeria averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Oviedo averaged 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Almeria and 0.78 from Oviedo. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 18%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Almeria (green) and Oviedo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Almeria Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Girona vs Celta de Vigo II · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Leganes vs Mallorca · 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cordoba vs Eibar · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53