Home › League stats › Serie A › Lazio vs Parma
Serie A · Italy
Lazio vs Parma prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lazio host Parma in the Serie A (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Lazio Win — Lazio to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lazio had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 9. Parma had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lazio's last 10 and 3 of Parma's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lazio averaged 2.46 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Parma averaged 0.38 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Lazio and 0.55 from Parma. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 8%, against 71%, 19% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lazio (green) and Parma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| Lazio Win | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Napoli vs AS Roma · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Cagliari vs Bologna · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Como vs Sassuolo · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44