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Serie A · Italy
Cagliari vs Bologna prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cagliari host Bologna in the Serie A (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cagliari had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Bologna had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Cagliari's last 10 and 6 of Bologna's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cagliari averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Bologna averaged 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Cagliari and 0.85 from Bologna. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 30%, against 31%, 31% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cagliari (green) and Bologna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Bologna 0–0 Cagliari
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Lazio vs Parma · 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Lazio Win @ 1.33 - Napoli vs AS Roma · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Como vs Sassuolo · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44