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Serie A · Italy
Como vs Sassuolo prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Como host Sassuolo in the Serie A (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Como had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Sassuolo had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Como's last 10 and 9 of Sassuolo's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Como averaged 2.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sassuolo averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.42 goals from Como and 0.86 from Sassuolo. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 11%, against 63%, 20% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Como (green) and Sassuolo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Apr 2026 · Sassuolo 2–1 Como
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Como Win | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Lazio vs Parma · 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Lazio Win @ 1.33 - Napoli vs AS Roma · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Cagliari vs Bologna · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36