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Serie A · Italy
Lazio vs Cagliari prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Stadio Olimpico, Rome
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lazio host Cagliari in the Serie A (Italy) on 1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Cagliari +2.5 Asian Handicap — Cagliari +2.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.23, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lazio had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 10. Cagliari had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lazio's last 10 and 4 of Cagliari's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lazio averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Cagliari averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Lazio and 0.77 from Cagliari. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 14%, against 67%, 20% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lazio (green) and Cagliari (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| Lazio Win | 67% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Juventus vs Napoli · 1 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Lecce vs Genoa · 1 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Frosinone vs Torino · 1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - Como vs Venezia · 1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Como Win @ 1.30