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Serie A · Italy
Como vs Venezia prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Como host Venezia in the Serie A (Italy) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Como Win — Como to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Como had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 11. Venezia had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Como's last 10 and 4 of Venezia's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Como averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Venezia averaged 1.70 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.50 goals from Como and 0.99 from Venezia. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 12%, against 73%, 17% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Como (green) and Venezia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Como Win | 74% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Como 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Como HT & FT | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.