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Serie A · Italy
Juventus vs Napoli prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Allianz Stadium, Turin
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Juventus host Napoli in the Serie A (Italy) on 1 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Juventus had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Napoli had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Juventus's last 10 and 6 of Napoli's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Juventus averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Napoli averaged 1.63 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Juventus and 1.26 from Napoli. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 36%, against 41%, 30% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Juventus (green) and Napoli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Lecce vs Genoa · 1 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Frosinone vs Torino · 1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - Lazio vs Cagliari · 1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Cagliari +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.23 - Como vs Venezia · 1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Como Win @ 1.30