Home › League stats › Veikkausliiga › Lahti vs Turku PS
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti vs Turku PS prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lahti host Turku PS in the Veikkausliiga (Finland) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lahti 5–1 Turku PS.
Going into the match, Lahti had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Turku PS had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Lahti's last 10 and 3 of Turku PS's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lahti averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Turku PS averaged 0.86 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Lahti and 0.69 from Turku PS. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 16%, against 55%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lahti (green) and Turku PS (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Jun 2026 · Lahti 0–0 Turku PS
- 10 Apr 2026 · Turku PS 2–1 Lahti
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Lahti Win | 55% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Veikkausliiga matches that day
- Inter Turku vs AC Oulu · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Inter Turku Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Ilves vs SJK · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - FF Jaro vs Mariehamn · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–1