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Veikkausliiga · Finland
FF Jaro vs Mariehamn prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FF Jaro host Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga (Finland) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FF Jaro 1–1 Mariehamn.
Going into the match, FF Jaro had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 16. Mariehamn had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of FF Jaro's last 10 and 5 of Mariehamn's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FF Jaro averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Mariehamn averaged 1.13 scored and 2.07 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from FF Jaro and 1.13 from Mariehamn. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 29%, against 42%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FF Jaro (green) and Mariehamn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 Aug 2026 · Mariehamn 2–0 FF Jaro
- 23 May 2026 · FF Jaro 3–0 Mariehamn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Veikkausliiga matches that day
- Inter Turku vs AC Oulu · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Inter Turku Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Ilves vs SJK · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - Lahti vs Turku PS · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44