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Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves vs SJK prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ilves host SJK in the Veikkausliiga (Finland) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ilves 2–0 SJK.
Going into the match, Ilves had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. SJK had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ilves's last 10 and 5 of SJK's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ilves averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.76 conceded across 17 matches; away from home SJK averaged 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Ilves and 0.92 from SJK. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 20%, against 49%, 25% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ilves (green) and SJK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Ilves 2–2 SJK
- 2 May 2026 · SJK 1–1 Ilves
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Veikkausliiga matches that day
- Inter Turku vs AC Oulu · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Inter Turku Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - FF Jaro vs Mariehamn · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–1 - Lahti vs Turku PS · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Veikkausliiga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44