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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Laagri vs Vaprus prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Laagri host Vaprus in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Laagri 2–0 Vaprus.
Going into the match, Laagri had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Vaprus had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Laagri's last 10 and 7 of Vaprus's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Laagri averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.19 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Vaprus averaged 1.41 scored and 1.88 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from Laagri and 1.14 from Vaprus. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 19%, against 47%, 24% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Laagri (green) and Vaprus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Sep 2026 · Vaprus 3–2 Laagri
- 16 May 2026 · Laagri 1–2 Vaprus
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Laagri Win | 45% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Meistriliiga matches that day
- Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–0 - Paide vs Trans Narva · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2