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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kuressaare host FC Levadia Tallinn in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kuressaare 0–2 FC Levadia Tallinn.
Going into the match, Kuressaare had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. FC Levadia Tallinn had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 38 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Kuressaare's last 10 and 4 of FC Levadia Tallinn's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kuressaare averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.47 conceded across 15 matches; away from home FC Levadia Tallinn averaged 2.47 scored and 0.88 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.67 goals from Kuressaare and 2.13 from FC Levadia Tallinn. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 71%, against 10%, 17% and 74% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kuressaare (green) and FC Levadia Tallinn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuressaare | WWWDL | 1.60 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | WWWDW | 3.80 | 0.50 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Sep 2026 · FC Levadia Tallinn 4–0 Kuressaare
- 2 May 2026 · Kuressaare 1–2 FC Levadia Tallinn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn Win | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn HT & FT | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Meistriliiga matches that day
- Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–0 - Paide vs Trans Narva · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Laagri vs Vaprus · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–0