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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Flora Tallinn host Tammeka in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Flora Tallinn 2–0 Tammeka.
Going into the match, Flora Tallinn had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 20. Tammeka had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Flora Tallinn's last 10 and 5 of Tammeka's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flora Tallinn averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.59 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Tammeka averaged 1.21 scored and 1.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Flora Tallinn and 1.51 from Tammeka. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 32%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Flora Tallinn (green) and Tammeka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn | LLWWD | 1.80 | 2.00 | 90% | 90% |
| Tammeka | LWWLL | 1.90 | 1.80 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · Flora Tallinn 3–2 Tammeka
- 26 Aug 2026 · Tammeka 3–1 Flora Tallinn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Flora Tallinn Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Meistriliiga matches that day
- Paide vs Trans Narva · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2 - Laagri vs Vaprus · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Meistriliiga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–0