Home › League stats › National League › Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch

National League · England

Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.62Market probability 59%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Hartlepool host AFC Hornchurch in the National League (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — AFC Hornchurch to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Hartlepool had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 20. AFC Hornchurch had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Hartlepool's last 10 and 2 of AFC Hornchurch's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hartlepool averaged 0.86 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home AFC Hornchurch averaged 1.64 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Hartlepool and 1.71 from AFC Hornchurch. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 42%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Hartlepool (green) and AFC Hornchurch (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%
Attack55% – 45%
Defence39% – 61%
Overall strength45% – 54%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
HartlepoolLLWLL0.802.0050%50%
AFC HornchurchWWDLW1.301.2020%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other National League matches that day