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National League · England
Eastleigh vs Boston United prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Eastleigh host Boston United in the National League (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Eastleigh had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Boston United had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Eastleigh's last 10 and 7 of Boston United's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Eastleigh averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Boston United averaged 1.50 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Eastleigh and 1.13 from Boston United. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 30%, against 43%, 25% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Eastleigh (green) and Boston United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | WLLDL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 80% | 50% |
| Boston United | LLLLD | 1.30 | 2.50 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
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Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25