Home › League stats › National League › Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd
National League · England
Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Harrogate Town host Sutton Utd in the National League (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Harrogate Town had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Sutton Utd had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Harrogate Town's last 10 and 6 of Sutton Utd's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Harrogate Town averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Sutton Utd averaged 1.00 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Harrogate Town and 0.86 from Sutton Utd. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 16%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Harrogate Town (green) and Sutton Utd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate Town | WDWWW | 2.00 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
| Sutton Utd | WWLDL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 79% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Harrogate Town Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.68 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other National League matches that day
- Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · National League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Barrow vs Forest Green · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Boreham Wood vs AFC Fylde · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Hartlepool vs AFC Hornchurch · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Scunthorpe vs Woking · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Solihull Moors vs Carlisle · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Southend vs FC Halifax Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Eastleigh vs Boston United · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · National League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44