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National League · England
Barrow vs Forest Green prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barrow host Forest Green in the National League (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Barrow had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 7. Forest Green had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Barrow's last 10 and 6 of Forest Green's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barrow averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Forest Green averaged 1.30 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Barrow and 0.95 from Forest Green. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 17%, against 49%, 24% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barrow (green) and Forest Green (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow | WDWWW | 1.90 | 0.70 | 40% | 60% |
| Forest Green | WDLDD | 1.90 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Barrow Win | 48% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
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