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Welsh Cup · Wales
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
GAP Connah S Quay FC host Porthmadog in the Welsh Cup (Wales) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — GAP Connah S Quay FC to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: GAP Connah S Quay FC 4–0 Porthmadog.
Going into the match, GAP Connah S Quay FC had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 6. Porthmadog had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 10 and 5 of Porthmadog's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home GAP Connah S Quay FC averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Porthmadog averaged 1.83 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.53 goals from GAP Connah S Quay FC and 0.66 from Porthmadog. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 7%. For the published pick itself the model gives 93%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between GAP Connah S Quay FC (green) and Porthmadog (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | WWWWW | 2.00 | 0.60 | 50% | 60% |
| Porthmadog | WWWWL | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other Welsh Cup matches that day
- Airbus UK vs The New Saints · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Welsh Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–2 - Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Welsh Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 5–0 - Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Welsh Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 6–0