Home › League stats › Welsh Cup › Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC
Welsh Cup · Wales
Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Caerau (Ely) host llanelli AFC in the Welsh Cup (Wales) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — llanelli AFC to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Caerau (Ely) 6–0 llanelli AFC.
Going into the match, Caerau (Ely) had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 18. llanelli AFC had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 29 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Caerau (Ely)'s last 10 and 5 of llanelli AFC's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Caerau (Ely) averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home llanelli AFC averaged 0.50 scored and 4.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 5.12 goals from Caerau (Ely) and 0.79 from llanelli AFC. From that it rates a home win at 95%, a draw at 3% and an away win at 1%. For the published pick itself the model gives 5%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Caerau (Ely) (green) and llanelli AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | WWWWW | 2.20 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
| llanelli AFC | LLLLL | 0.80 | 2.90 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Sep 2026 · Caerau (Ely) 3–0 llanelli AFC
Other Welsh Cup matches that day
- Airbus UK vs The New Saints · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Welsh Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–2 - Cambrian & Clydach vs Trethomas Bluebirds · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Welsh Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 5–0 - GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Welsh Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 4–0