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Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Galway United host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Galway United 2–0 Shamrock Rovers.
Going into the match, Galway United had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Shamrock Rovers had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Galway United's last 10 and 7 of Shamrock Rovers's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Galway United averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Shamrock Rovers averaged 1.06 scored and 1.50 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Galway United and 1.42 from Shamrock Rovers. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 38%, against 22%, 25% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Galway United (green) and Shamrock Rovers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United | LDLWL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
| Shamrock Rovers | WWWLD | 1.50 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jun 2026 · Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Galway United
- 8 May 2026 · Galway United 1–3 Shamrock Rovers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Shamrock Rovers Win | 52% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier Division matches that day
- St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne · 16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - Bohemians vs Waterford · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Drogheda United vs Derry City · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–0