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Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United vs Derry City prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Drogheda United host Derry City in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Drogheda United 2–0 Derry City.
Going into the match, Drogheda United had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Derry City had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Drogheda United's last 10 and 6 of Derry City's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Drogheda United averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Derry City averaged 1.44 scored and 1.56 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Drogheda United and 1.30 from Derry City. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 38%, against 29%, 28% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Drogheda United (green) and Derry City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United | LWLWW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Derry City | WWDWW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jun 2026 · Derry City 2–0 Drogheda United
- 8 May 2026 · Drogheda United 1–0 Derry City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier Division matches that day
- St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne · 16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - Bohemians vs Waterford · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–0