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Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians vs Waterford prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bohemians host Waterford in the Premier Division (Ireland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bohemians 2–1 Waterford.
Going into the match, Bohemians had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Waterford had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bohemians's last 10 and 5 of Waterford's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bohemians averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Waterford averaged 1.50 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Bohemians and 1.42 from Waterford. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 30%, against 60%, 21% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bohemians (green) and Waterford (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Oct 2026 · Bohemians 0–2 Waterford
- 9 Aug 2026 · Waterford 3–1 Bohemians
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Bohemians Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier Division matches that day
- St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne · 16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - Drogheda United vs Derry City · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–0 - Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Premier Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–0