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Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fiorentina host Juventus in the Serie A (Italy) on 8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Fiorentina had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 19. Juventus had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Fiorentina's last 10 and 4 of Juventus's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fiorentina averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Juventus averaged 1.15 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Fiorentina and 1.53 from Juventus. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 44%, against 28%, 27% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fiorentina (green) and Juventus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | WDLLL | 1.80 | 1.90 | 80% | 90% |
| Juventus | WWLWD | 1.30 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Inter vs Como · 8 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Genoa vs AC Milan · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Monza vs Atalanta · 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Napoli vs Lazio · 8 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67