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Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Schalke 04 host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Schalke 04 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. RB Leipzig had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of FC Schalke 04's last 10 and 5 of RB Leipzig's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Schalke 04 averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home RB Leipzig averaged 1.50 scored and 2.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from FC Schalke 04 and 1.31 from RB Leipzig. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 35%, against 24%, 24% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Schalke 04 (green) and RB Leipzig (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | LDLLW | 1.00 | 1.10 | 30% | 40% |
| RB Leipzig | WWLLW | 2.20 | 2.00 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| RB Leipzig Win | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36