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Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bayern München host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bayern München had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 36 and conceding 11. Borussia Dortmund had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bayern München's last 10 and 5 of Borussia Dortmund's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bayern München averaged 4.00 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Borussia Dortmund averaged 1.57 scored and 0.93 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.23 goals from Bayern München and 0.90 from Borussia Dortmund. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 13%, against 71%, 16% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bayern München (green) and Borussia Dortmund (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | WWDWD | 3.60 | 1.10 | 70% | 90% |
| Borussia Dortmund | WWWDL | 1.80 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Borussia Dortmund 1–2 Bayern München
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern München Win | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Bayern München 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Bayern München HT & FT | 53% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44