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Bundesliga · Germany

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.40Market probability 66%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FC Augsburg host SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, FC Augsburg had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 17. SC Freiburg had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of FC Augsburg's last 10 and 7 of SC Freiburg's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Augsburg averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home SC Freiburg averaged 1.73 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.45 goals from FC Augsburg and 2.13 from SC Freiburg. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 34%, against 31%, 25% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FC Augsburg (green) and SC Freiburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form30% – 70%
Attack48% – 52%
Defence40% – 60%
Head-to-head62% – 38%
Goals53% – 47%
Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
FC AugsburgWDLDD2.501.7080%80%
SC FreiburgWLLLW2.201.7070%90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1276%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No72%1.30
BTTS Yes66%1.40
Over 2.5 Goals64%1.44
Under 3.5 Goals56%1.73
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.67
Over 9.5 Corners50%1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Bundesliga matches that day