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Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bayer Leverkusen had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 11. VfB Stuttgart had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 and 3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bayer Leverkusen averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home VfB Stuttgart averaged 2.60 scored and 1.47 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from Bayer Leverkusen and 1.23 from VfB Stuttgart. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 21%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bayer Leverkusen (green) and VfB Stuttgart (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | WLWWW | 2.70 | 1.10 | 40% | 70% |
| VfB Stuttgart | WLDLW | 1.80 | 0.80 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Bayer Leverkusen Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Bayer Leverkusen HT & FT | 35% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig · 31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44