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Liga MX · Mexico
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Juarez host Atlante FC in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 21 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Juarez 0–1 Atlante FC.
Going into the match, FC Juarez had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 27. Atlante FC had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Juarez's last 10 and 6 of Atlante FC's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Juarez averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Atlante FC averaged 0.92 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from FC Juarez and 1.37 from Atlante FC. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 38%, against 29%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Juarez (green) and Atlante FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez | LDLWL | 0.70 | 2.70 | 50% | 70% |
| Atlante FC | LLWDL | 0.90 | 1.70 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · FC Juarez 2–0 Atlante FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX matches that day
- Tigres UANL vs Leon · 21 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 0–2 - Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro · 21 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–1 - Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa · 21 Oct 2026, 00:07 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–0