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Liga MX · Mexico
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atletico San Luis host Club Queretaro in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 21 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atletico San Luis 2–1 Club Queretaro.
Going into the match, Atletico San Luis had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Club Queretaro had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Atletico San Luis's last 10 and 4 of Club Queretaro's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atletico San Luis averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Club Queretaro averaged 1.15 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Atletico San Luis and 1.28 from Club Queretaro. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 30%, against 42%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atletico San Luis (green) and Club Queretaro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis | DLWWL | 1.40 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
| Club Queretaro | LWWDW | 1.10 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jun 2026 · Club Queretaro 2–2 Atletico San Luis
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX matches that day
- Tigres UANL vs Leon · 21 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 0–2 - FC Juarez vs Atlante FC · 21 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–1 - Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa · 21 Oct 2026, 00:07 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–0