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National League - South · England
Farnborough vs Dagenham & Redbridge prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Farnborough host Dagenham & Redbridge in the National League - South (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Farnborough 2–0 Dagenham & Redbridge.
Going into the match, Farnborough had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Dagenham & Redbridge had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Farnborough's last 10 and 3 of Dagenham & Redbridge's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Farnborough averaged 0.78 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Dagenham & Redbridge averaged 1.17 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.73 goals from Farnborough and 1.05 from Dagenham & Redbridge. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 41%, against 28%, 25% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 35%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnborough | LDLDL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 30% | 40% |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | DLWWD | 0.80 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Win | 47% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Farnborough form and statistics
- Dagenham & Redbridge form and statistics
- National League - South statistics
Other National League - South matches that day
- Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Folkestone Invicta vs AFC Totton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Slough Town vs Horsham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–2 - Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - South
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.46