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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zhetysu host FK Tobol Kostanay in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Zhetysu had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 19. FK Tobol Kostanay had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Zhetysu's last 10 and 6 of FK Tobol Kostanay's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zhetysu averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FK Tobol Kostanay averaged 1.44 scored and 1.25 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Zhetysu and 1.55 from FK Tobol Kostanay. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 48%, against 34%, 27% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zhetysu (green) and FK Tobol Kostanay (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhetysu | WLLLW | 0.70 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
| FK Tobol Kostanay | WWLWW | 1.90 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.81 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Ordabasy vs Zhenys · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.47 - Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.29 - Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.48