Home › League stats › Premier League › Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy
Premier League · Kazakhstan
Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Okzhetpes host Kaspiy in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Okzhetpes had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Kaspiy had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Okzhetpes's last 10 and 7 of Kaspiy's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Okzhetpes averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Kaspiy averaged 1.00 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Okzhetpes and 1.28 from Kaspiy. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 26%, against 55%, 23% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Okzhetpes (green) and Kaspiy (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.66 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.68 |
| Okzhetpes Win | 54% | 1.71 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Ordabasy vs Zhenys · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.47 - Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.29 - Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40