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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kyzyl-Zhar host Ulytau in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.29, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kyzyl-Zhar had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Ulytau had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kyzyl-Zhar's last 10 and 6 of Ulytau's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kyzyl-Zhar averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Ulytau averaged 0.86 scored and 1.57 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.00 from Ulytau. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 31%, against 43%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kyzyl-Zhar (green) and Ulytau (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyzyl-Zhar | LWDLL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Ulytau | LWDLL | 1.20 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.97 |
| Kyzyl-Zhar Win | 45% | 2.17 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Ordabasy vs Zhenys · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.47 - Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40