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Premier League · Russia
Zenit vs Akhmat prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zenit host Akhmat in the Premier League (Russia) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zenit 3–2 Akhmat.
Going into the match, Zenit had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Akhmat had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Zenit's last 10 and 6 of Akhmat's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zenit averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Akhmat averaged 0.86 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Zenit and 0.78 from Akhmat. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 16%, against 70%, 19% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zenit (green) and Akhmat (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Zenit 2–0 Akhmat
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.23 |
| Zenit Win | 70% | 1.37 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.47 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.51 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 61% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.69 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Baltika vs FC Rostov · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.29 - Spartak Moscow vs Rubin · 18 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Spartak Moscow Win @ 1.44 · FT 4–0 - Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow · 18 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.46