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Premier League · Russia
Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dynamo host CSKA Moscow in the Premier League (Russia) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dynamo 3–1 CSKA Moscow.
Going into the match, Dynamo had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. CSKA Moscow had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Dynamo's last 10 and 7 of CSKA Moscow's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dynamo averaged 2.24 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 17 matches; away from home CSKA Moscow averaged 1.08 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Dynamo and 0.82 from CSKA Moscow. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 16%, against 42%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dynamo (green) and CSKA Moscow (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo | WWWWW | 1.90 | 0.60 | 40% | 60% |
| CSKA Moscow | WWWLW | 2.20 | 1.30 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Jul 2026 · Dynamo 5–2 CSKA Moscow
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.46 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.51 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 60% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.71 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Baltika vs FC Rostov · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.29 - Spartak Moscow vs Rubin · 18 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Spartak Moscow Win @ 1.44 · FT 4–0 - Zenit vs Akhmat · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.47