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Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spartak Moscow host Rubin in the Premier League (Russia) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Spartak Moscow Win — Spartak Moscow to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spartak Moscow 4–0 Rubin.
Going into the match, Spartak Moscow had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 9. Rubin had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Spartak Moscow's last 10 and 9 of Rubin's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spartak Moscow averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Rubin averaged 1.08 scored and 1.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Spartak Moscow and 0.71 from Rubin. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 12%, against 66%, 21% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spartak Moscow (green) and Rubin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | WDWWL | 1.90 | 0.90 | 70% | 50% |
| Rubin | LLDDD | 1.10 | 1.30 | 90% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Aug 2026 · Rubin 1–1 Spartak Moscow
- 8 Jul 2026 · Spartak Moscow 0–0 Rubin
- 11 May 2026 · Spartak Moscow 2–1 Rubin
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.35 |
| Spartak Moscow Win | 67% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.43 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 61% | 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.72 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Baltika vs FC Rostov · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.29 - Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow · 18 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.46 - Zenit vs Akhmat · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.47