Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.60Market probability 58%Final score 2–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Žalgiris II host Atmosfera in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Žalgiris II 2–3 Atmosfera.

Going into the match, Žalgiris II had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Atmosfera had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Žalgiris II's last 10 and 8 of Atmosfera's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Žalgiris II averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Atmosfera averaged 1.36 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Žalgiris II and 1.23 from Atmosfera. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 27%, against 40%, 25% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Žalgiris II (green) and Atmosfera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form71% – 29%

Attack42% – 58%

Defence80% – 20%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals35% – 65%

Overall strength53% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Žalgiris II	WLWWW	1.70	0.80	50%	40%
Atmosfera	DDLWL	1.40	1.60	80%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

30 May 2026 · Atmosfera 2–0 Žalgiris II

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.24
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	74%	1.29
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	60%	1.60
BTTS Yes	58%	1.60
Over 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
Over 10.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	45%	2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.