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1 Lyga · Lithuania
FA Šiauliai II vs Garliava prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FA Šiauliai II host Garliava in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FA Šiauliai II 2–3 Garliava.
Going into the match, FA Šiauliai II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 21. Garliava had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FA Šiauliai II's last 10 and 4 of Garliava's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FA Šiauliai II averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Garliava averaged 1.08 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from FA Šiauliai II and 1.59 from Garliava. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 40%, against 33%, 24% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FA Šiauliai II | DWLLL | 1.60 | 2.10 | 70% | 60% |
| Garliava | DWLLL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 May 2026 · Garliava 1–1 FA Šiauliai II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Garliava Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1 Lyga matches that day
- Žalgiris II vs Atmosfera · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 · FT 2–3 - Minija vs Babrungas · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 1 Lyga
Published pick: Minija Win @ 1.50 · FT 2–3