Minija vs Babrungas prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Minija WinOdds 1.50Market probability 56%Final score 2–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Minija host Babrungas in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Minija Win — Minija to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Minija 2–3 Babrungas.

Going into the match, Minija had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 and conceding 7. Babrungas had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Minija's last 10 and 4 of Babrungas's last 10; 10 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Minija averaged 2.54 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Babrungas averaged 1.86 scored and 0.57 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Minija and 0.95 from Babrungas. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 27%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Minija (green) and Babrungas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%

Attack65% – 35%

Defence67% – 33%

Head-to-head7% – 93%

Goals0% – 100%

Overall strength51% – 48%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Minija	LWWWW	3.00	0.70	30%	100%
Babrungas	WWWLW	1.70	0.70	40%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

29 May 2026 · Babrungas 1–0 Minija

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.40
Minija Win	58%	1.50
Under 10.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Over 2.5 Goals	51%	1.80
BTTS Yes	50%	1.85
Under 2.5 Goals	49%	2.00
Minija HT & FT	41%	2.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.