Zakho vs Erbil prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.28Market probability 70%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Zakho host Erbil in the Iraqi League (Iraq) on 22 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Erbil to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Zakho 2–1 Erbil.

Going into the match, Zakho had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Erbil had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Zakho's last 10 and 4 of Erbil's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zakho averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Erbil averaged 2.09 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Zakho and 1.70 from Erbil. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 52%, against 29%, 29% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Zakho (green) and Erbil (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%

Attack30% – 70%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals64% – 36%

Overall strength42% – 57%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Zakho	LLLWD	0.70	1.40	40%	40%
Erbil	LLDWL	1.50	1.00	40%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

28 May 2026 · Zakho 1–2 Erbil

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	70%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.34
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	65%	1.39
Under 2.5 Goals	56%	1.67
BTTS Yes	50%	1.82
Over 2.5 Goals	44%	2.15
Erbil Win	41%	2.15
Draw	29%	3.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.