Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.40Market probability 66%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al Talaba host Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraqi League (Iraq) on 22 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Al Talaba 1–0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Going into the match, Al Talaba had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Al Quwa Al Jawiya had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Al Talaba's last 10 and 6 of Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Talaba averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Al Quwa Al Jawiya averaged 1.64 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Al Talaba and 1.07 from Al Quwa Al Jawiya. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 34%, 29% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al Talaba (green) and Al Quwa Al Jawiya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack46% – 54%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals38% – 62%

Overall strength38% – 61%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al Talaba	WDDLW	1.10	1.10	40%	40%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya	DLWDL	1.10	1.30	60%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

15 May 2026 · Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–1 Al Talaba

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	71%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	70%	1.29
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	64%	1.42
Under 2.5 Goals	57%	1.65
BTTS Yes	50%	1.82
Over 2.5 Goals	43%	2.20
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win	37%	2.40
Draw	29%	3.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.