Gharraf vs Naft prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.28Market probability 71%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Gharraf host Naft in the Iraqi League (Iraq) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Naft to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Gharraf 0–0 Naft.

Going into the match, Gharraf had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Naft had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Gharraf's last 10 and 2 of Naft's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gharraf averaged 0.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Naft averaged 0.50 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.53 goals from Gharraf and 0.97 from Naft. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 44%, against 29%, 31% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Gharraf (green) and Naft (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%

Attack36% – 64%

Defence33% – 67%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals67% – 33%

Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Gharraf	WDLLL	0.60	1.30	40%	40%
Naft	WWWWL	1.30	0.50	20%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

9 Apr 2026 · Naft 1–0 Gharraf

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	74%	1.22
Double Chance X2	71%	1.28
Under 2.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	59%	1.53
BTTS No	56%	1.66
Naft Win	40%	2.30
Over 2.5 Goals	37%	2.50
Draw	31%	2.88

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.