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Premier League · Malta
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zabbar St. Patrick host Sliema Wanderers in the Premier League (Malta) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zabbar St. Patrick 2–3 Sliema Wanderers.
Going into the match, Zabbar St. Patrick had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Sliema Wanderers had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Zabbar St. Patrick's last 10 and 7 of Sliema Wanderers's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zabbar St. Patrick averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Sliema Wanderers averaged 1.44 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Zabbar St. Patrick and 1.48 from Sliema Wanderers. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 42%, against 21%, 25% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zabbar St. Patrick (green) and Sliema Wanderers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zabbar St. Patrick | WLLDL | 0.90 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Sliema Wanderers | LDDWW | 1.30 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Zabbar St. Patrick 1–1 Sliema Wanderers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Sliema Wanderers Win | 51% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Sliema Wanderers HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Mosta vs Valletta FC · 21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Valletta FC Win @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC · 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 · FT 1–1 - Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk · 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Marsaxlokk Win @ 1.45 · FT 2–0