Home › League stats › Premier League › Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC
Premier League · Malta
Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Hamrun Spartans host Balzan FC in the Premier League (Malta) on 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Hamrun Spartans 1–1 Balzan FC.
Going into the match, Hamrun Spartans had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Balzan FC had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Hamrun Spartans's last 10 and 6 of Balzan FC's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Hamrun Spartans averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Balzan FC averaged 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Hamrun Spartans and 1.08 from Balzan FC. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Hamrun Spartans (green) and Balzan FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamrun Spartans | DDWWW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
| Balzan FC | LDDDW | 1.20 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Hamrun Spartans Win | 52% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Hamrun Spartans HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Mosta vs Valletta FC · 21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Valletta FC Win @ 1.57 · FT 0–2 - Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers · 21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 · FT 2–3 - Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk · 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Marsaxlokk Win @ 1.45 · FT 2–0