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Premier League · Malta
Mosta vs Valletta FC prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mosta host Valletta FC in the Premier League (Malta) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Valletta FC Win — Valletta FC to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mosta 0–2 Valletta FC.
Going into the match, Mosta had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Valletta FC had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Mosta's last 10 and 4 of Valletta FC's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mosta averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Valletta FC averaged 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from Mosta and 1.95 from Valletta FC. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 58%, against 19%, 24% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mosta (green) and Valletta FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosta | DDDLD | 1.40 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
| Valletta FC | WWWDW | 2.10 | 1.10 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| Valletta FC Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Valletta FC HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers · 21 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 · FT 2–3 - Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC · 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 · FT 1–1 - Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk · 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Marsaxlokk Win @ 1.45 · FT 2–0