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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yelimay Semey host Ulytau in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Yelimay Semey Win — Yelimay Semey to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yelimay Semey 2–1 Ulytau.
Going into the match, Yelimay Semey had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Ulytau had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Yelimay Semey's last 10 and 6 of Ulytau's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yelimay Semey averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Ulytau averaged 0.85 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Yelimay Semey and 0.98 from Ulytau. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 23%, against 55%, 23% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yelimay Semey (green) and Ulytau (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yelimay Semey | WLWWL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Ulytau | WDLLW | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Ulytau 1–0 Yelimay Semey
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Yelimay Semey Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Yelimay Semey HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- FC Astana vs Kaspiy · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 2–2 - Kairat Almaty vs Irtysh · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Altay vs Atyrau · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2