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Premier League · Kazakhstan
FC Astana vs Kaspiy prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Astana host Kaspiy in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Astana 2–2 Kaspiy.
Going into the match, FC Astana had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Kaspiy had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Astana's last 10 and 7 of Kaspiy's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Astana averaged 2.08 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Kaspiy averaged 0.92 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from FC Astana and 0.90 from Kaspiy. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 16%, against 68%, 18% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Astana (green) and Kaspiy (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Kaspiy 1–0 FC Astana
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Astana Win | 69% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.83 |
| FC Astana HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
| 3-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Kairat Almaty vs Irtysh · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Yelimay Semey Win @ 1.60 - Altay vs Atyrau · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2