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Premier League · Kazakhstan
Kairat Almaty vs Irtysh prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kairat Almaty host Irtysh in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kairat Almaty 5–0 Irtysh.
Going into the match, Kairat Almaty had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Irtysh had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Kairat Almaty's last 10 and 6 of Irtysh's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kairat Almaty averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Irtysh averaged 0.73 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.45 goals from Kairat Almaty and 0.57 from Irtysh. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 6%, against 69%, 18% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kairat Almaty (green) and Irtysh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty | DWLLW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 30% | 60% |
| Irtysh | LLWWL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Irtysh 0–1 Kairat Almaty
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty Win | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.74 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Kairat Almaty HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 3-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- FC Astana vs Kaspiy · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 2–2 - Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Yelimay Semey Win @ 1.60 - Altay vs Atyrau · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2