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League Two · China
Xi'an Ronghai vs Shenzhen 2028 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Xi'an Ronghai host Shenzhen 2028 in the League Two (China) on 17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Xi'an Ronghai to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Xi'an Ronghai 1–0 Shenzhen 2028.
Going into the match, Xi'an Ronghai had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Shenzhen 2028 had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Xi'an Ronghai's last 10 and 4 of Shenzhen 2028's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Xi'an Ronghai averaged 1.53 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Shenzhen 2028 averaged 1.00 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Xi'an Ronghai and 0.66 from Shenzhen 2028. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 17%, against 46%, 28% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Xi'an Ronghai (green) and Shenzhen 2028 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi'an Ronghai | WDWLD | 1.00 | 0.40 | 20% | 20% |
| Shenzhen 2028 | LLDWL | 1.40 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Sep 2026 · Shenzhen 2028 1–0 Xi'an Ronghai
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
| Xi'an Ronghai Win | 44% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Langfang Glory City vs Shandong Taishan II · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 · FT 0–0 - Jiangxi Liansheng vs Shanghai Port II · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Shangyu Pterosaur vs BIT · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.57 - Wuhan Three Towns II vs Tai'an Tiankuang · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–0 - Dalian Kewei vs Guizhou Zhucheng · 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 · FT 2–1 - Shanghai Second vs Guangdong Mingtu · 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.30 · FT 1–1 - Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangzhou Dandelion · 17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–0